Institutional macro on
Bitcoin & Ethereum.
Not consensus.

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Updated Oct 18, 2026

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Research

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Rebuilding the ETH Security Model: Stablecoins + DeFi + RWA
Adding DeFi and tokenized assets lifts the model's R² from 0.86 to 0.90.
Apr 2026
Three Signals, One Bottom
Cost proximity, a volatility spike and drawdown depth as a guide to bear-market lows.
Apr 2026
ETH Security Mechanism
Why the value Ethereum secures drives what it's worth.
Mar 2026